Actionability Assertions

Gene Condition (MONDO ID) OMIM ID Final Assertion
CDKN2A melanoma-pancreatic cancer syndrome (0011713) 606719 Moderate Actionability

Actionability Assertion Rationale

  • All experts agreed with the assertion computed according to the rubric.

Actionability Scores

Outcome / Intervention Pair Severity Likelihood Effectiveness Nature of Intervention Total Score
Morbidity and mortality from melanoma / Skin surveillance to detect melanoma and guide melanoma treatment 2 2C 2N 3 9CN
Morbidity and mortality from pancreatic cancer / Referral to specialist to guide surveillance plans for early detection of pancreatic cancer or precursors and guide pancreatic cancer treatment 2 2C 2B 2 8CB
View scoring key
Domain of Actionability Scoring Metric State of the Knowledgebase
Severity: What is the nature of the threat to health to an individual? 3 = Sudden death as a reasonably possible outcome
2 = Reasonable possibility of death or major morbidity
1 = Modest morbidity
0 = Minimal or no morbidity
N/A
Likelihood: What is the chance that the outcome will occur? 3 = >40% chance
2 = 5%-39% chance
1 = 1%-4% chance
0 = <1% chance
A = Substantial evidence or evidence from a high tier (tier 1)
B = Moderate evidence or evidence from a moderate tier (tier 2)
C = Minimal evidence or evidence from a lower tier (tier 3 or 4)
D = Poor evidence or evidence not provided in the report
N = Evidence based on expert contributions (tier 5)
Effectiveness: What is the effectiveness of a specific intervention in preventing or diminishing the risk of harm? 3 = Highly effective
2 = Moderately effective
1 = Minimally effective
0 = Controversial or unknown effectiveness
IN = Ineffective/No interventiona
A = Substantial evidence or evidence from a high tier (tier 1)
B = Moderate evidence or evidence from a moderate tier (tier 2)
C = Minimal evidence or evidence from a lower tier (tier 3 or 4)
D = Poor evidence or evidence not provided in the report
N = Evidence based on expert contributions (tier 5)
Nature of intervention: How risky, medically burdensome, or intensive is the intervention? 3 = Low risk, or medically acceptable and low intensity
2 = Moderate risk, moderately acceptable or intensive
1 = Greater risk, less acceptable and substantial intensity
0 = High risk, poorly acceptable or intensive
N/A
a Do not score the remaining categories

Prevalence of the Genetic Condition

An accurate estimate of the prevalence of melanoma-pancreatic cancer syndrome (MPCS); aka Familial Atypical Multiple Mole Melanoma Syndrome) is difficult to make given the highly variable phenotype both between and within families and limited data available. Many CDKN2A pathogenic variants reported among families consist of founder variants, which are unique to specific populations and the geographic areas from which they originate. Pathogenic variants in CDKN2A have been estimated to account for up to 1-2% of unselected melanoma diagnoses. The frequency of pathogenic variants in CDKN2A in unselected pancreatic cancer patients has been estimated to be 0.89%.
View Citations

Eckerle Mize D, et al. (2009) PMID: 21249757, Online Medelian Inheritance in Man. (2012) OMIM: 606719, Syngal S, et al. (2015) PMID: 25645574, Familial atypical multiple mole melanoma syndrome. Orphanet encyclopedia, ORPHA: 404560., NCCN. (2022) URL: www.nccn.org., Astiazaran-Symonds E, et al. (2021) PMID: 34255164, NCI. (2022) URL: www.cancer.gov., Online Medelian Inheritance in Man. (2013) OMIM: 155601

Clinical Features (Signs / symptoms)

MPCS is a hereditary cancer predisposition syndrome associated with an increased risk of developing malignant melanoma and/or pancreatic cancer (mainly adenocarcinoma). Individuals may develop either or both types of cancer. MPCS is classically a clinical diagnosis that includes cutaneous findings of a high total body nevi count (usually more than 50 and often into the hundreds; including some atypical nevi which may resemble early melanoma). The majority of the nevi will appear clinically typical. Controversy surrounds the pathologic significance of atypical nevi seen in MPCS syndrome; atypical nevi often regress and melanomas often develop on normal skin. The clinical and histopathologic characteristics of melanoma in MPCS are not different from those seen in sporadic cases. In addition to the head, neck, and trunk, melanoma may also occur in the eyes, ears, gastrointestinal tract, leptomeninges, and oral and genital mucous membranes. Evidence is also mixed regarding whether there is a difference in location of melanomas between those with CDKN2A pathogenic variants versus population-based controls. Some individuals exhibit all the classic MPCS characteristics while others will display few or none of the cutaneous features. The risk of melanoma also appears to be influenced by phenotypic risk factors, such as pigmentation, freckling and nevi and sun reactions but also exposure to UV radiation. Pancreatic cancer is the second most frequent cancer associated with MPCS. Presenting symptoms of pancreatic malignancies can include weight loss, jaundice, floating stools, pain, dyspepsia, nausea, vomiting, and occasionally pancreatitis; however, no early warning signs of pancreatic cancer have been established. A number of other malignancies have been reported in families with MPCS.
View Citations

Eckerle Mize D, et al. (2009) PMID: 21249757, Online Medelian Inheritance in Man. (2012) OMIM: 606719, Familial atypical multiple mole melanoma syndrome. Orphanet encyclopedia, ORPHA: 404560., NCI. (2022) URL: www.cancer.gov., Online Medelian Inheritance in Man. (2013) OMIM: 155601, NCCN. (2022) URL: www.nccn.org., Familial melanoma. Orphanet encyclopedia, ORPHA: 618.

Natural History (Important subgroups & survival / recovery)

There is an earlier age of onset of melanoma in families with CDKN2A pathogenic variants compared with the general population. A median age of melanoma diagnosis has been observed between 33 and 45 years old; however, there are several documented individuals with melanoma occurring as early as the early teens and twenties. Individuals with MPCS may experience an earlier onset of pancreatic cancer than the general population. A median age of pancreatic cancer diagnosis has been reported between 65 and 70 years old.
View Citations

Eckerle Mize D, et al. (2009) PMID: 21249757, Online Medelian Inheritance in Man. (2012) OMIM: 606719, Familial atypical multiple mole melanoma syndrome. Orphanet encyclopedia, ORPHA: 404560., NCCN. (2022) URL: www.nccn.org., NCI. (2022) URL: www.cancer.gov., NCCN. (2022) URL: www.nccn.org., Familial melanoma. Orphanet encyclopedia, ORPHA: 618., Goggins M, et al. (2020) PMID: 31672839

Description of sources of evidence:

Tier 1: Evidence from a systematic review or a meta-analysis or clinical practice guideline clearly based on a systematic review.
Tier 2: Evidence from clinical practice guidelines or broad-based expert consensus with non-systematic evidence review.
Tier 3: Evidence from another source with non-systematic review of evidence with primary literature cited.
Tier 4: Evidence from another source with non-systematic review of evidence with no citations to primary data sources.
Tier 5: Evidence from a non-systematically identified source.

Mode of Inheritance

Autosomal Dominant
View Citations

Eckerle Mize D, et al. (2009) PMID: 21249757, Online Medelian Inheritance in Man. (2012) OMIM: 606719, Familial atypical multiple mole melanoma syndrome. Orphanet encyclopedia, ORPHA: 404560., NCCN. (2022) URL: www.nccn.org., Online Medelian Inheritance in Man. (2013) OMIM: 155601

Prevalence of Genetic Variants

Unknown
No information on the prevalence of CDKN2A pathogenic variants in the general population was identified.

Penetrance (Includes any high-risk racial or ethnic subgroups)

>= 40 %
Depending on the study design and target population, melanoma penetrance related to CDKN2A pathogenic variants differs widely. The penetrance of melanoma for individuals from multiple case families with CDKN2A pathogenic variants is estimated at 45% to 92% by 80 years of age and varies with geography. Penetrance has been estimated to be 14% by age 50 and 28% by age 80 years in a study using population-based cancer registries.
Tier 3 View Citations

Eckerle Mize D, et al. (2009) PMID: 21249757, NCCN. (2022) URL: www.nccn.org., NCI. (2022) URL: www.cancer.gov., Online Medelian Inheritance in Man. (2013) OMIM: 155601

5-39 %
Studies of families with known CDKN2A pathogenic variants have estimated the penetrance for pancreatic cancer to be up to 17% in individuals with CDKN2A pathogenic variants by 75 years of age.
Tier 3 View Citations

Eckerle Mize D, et al. (2009) PMID: 21249757, Online Medelian Inheritance in Man. (2012) OMIM: 606719, NCI. (2022) URL: www.cancer.gov., NCCN. (2022) URL: www.nccn.org.

Unknown
In 60 families with three or more melanoma patients (30 families with CDKN2A pathogenic variants), 7.7% of individuals with melanoma were diagnosed before age 20 years. Fifteen individuals, all from families with CDKN2A pathogenic variants, had multiple primary melanomas (MPM). Seven of the 15 MPM individuals had multiple melanomas before age 20 years.
Tier 3 View Citations

NCI. (2022) URL: www.cancer.gov.

Relative Risk (Includes any high-risk racial or ethnic subgroups)

>3
The risk for developing pancreatic cancer with a known pathogenic variant in CDKN2A, assessed in MPCS families, is increased 13- to 22- fold with some sources reporting a risk as high as 47-fold.
Tier 3 View Citations

Eckerle Mize D, et al. (2009) PMID: 21249757, Syngal S, et al. (2015) PMID: 25645574, Astiazaran-Symonds E, et al. (2021) PMID: 34255164, NCI. (2022) URL: www.cancer.gov., NCCN. (2022) URL: www.nccn.org.

Expressivity

Some individuals exhibit all of the classic MPCS characteristics while others will display few or none of the cutaneous features. Individuals may develop either or both types of cancer (melanoma and pancreatic cancer).
Tier 3 View Citations

Eckerle Mize D, et al. (2009) PMID: 21249757, Online Medelian Inheritance in Man. (2012) OMIM: 606719

MPCS has a highly variable phenotype both between and within families. In some families, melanoma was the predominant malignancy while, in others, pancreatic cancer predominated the cancer presentation. There is significant heterogeneity in the cutaneous phenotype, some family members will display only part of the phenotype or will show no cutaneous characteristics but may later develop melanoma or pancreatic cancer.
Tier 4 View Citations

Eckerle Mize D, et al. (2009) PMID: 21249757, Familial atypical multiple mole melanoma syndrome. Orphanet encyclopedia, ORPHA: 404560.

Description of sources of evidence:

Tier 1: Evidence from a systematic review or a meta-analysis or clinical practice guideline clearly based on a systematic review.
Tier 2: Evidence from clinical practice guidelines or broad-based expert consensus with non-systematic evidence review.
Tier 3: Evidence from another source with non-systematic review of evidence with primary literature cited.
Tier 4: Evidence from another source with non-systematic review of evidence with no citations to primary data sources.
Tier 5: Evidence from a non-systematically identified source.

Patient Management

High-risk individuals should be educated about sun safety and warning signs of melanoma.
Tier 3 View Citations

Eckerle Mize D, et al. (2009) PMID: 21249757, NCI. (2022) URL: www.cancer.gov.

Surveillance

Screening should begin at age 10 with a baseline total body skin examination including scalp, oral mucosa, genital area, and nail. Patients should be examined every 6 months initially to ensure nevi stability. Once stability is established these visits can be conducted annually or as needed if the patient detects an abnormality on self-exam. Thorough total body self-examination should be performed by the patient with assistance from a friend or family member every month. Observation of lesions may be aided by techniques such as full-body photography and dermoscopy. Nevi may become more unstable during puberty and pregnancy and may warrant increased frequency of physician examinations during these periods.
Tier 3 View Citations

Eckerle Mize D, et al. (2009) PMID: 21249757, NCI. (2022) URL: www.cancer.gov.

A retrospective case-control study compared the melanomas (n=40) of 32 unscreened index patients with a CDKN2A pathogenic variant with those melanomas (n=226) diagnosed in relatives after entering an annual screening program. The surveillance-detected melanomas were found to be thinner than those of the index patients indicating that they were detected in an earlier stage, except among patients who were not compliant with the surveillance protocol. Median Breslow thickness was 0.98 mm for index melanomas and 0.50 mm for surveillance melanomas. The probability of being diagnosed with a Breslow thickness >1.00 mm was significantly larger for index melanomas (OR: 3.1, CI: 1.2 – 8.1, p = 0.022). However, the majority of screen-detected melanomas were diagnosed in patients that were under intensified surveillance (every 3 to 6 months) because of a previous melanoma.
Tier 5 View Citations

van der Rhee JI, et al. (2011) PMID: 21570154

A systematic review addressing physician visual screening for skin cancer identified limited evidence for the effectiveness of skin cancer screening on morbidity and mortality in average-risk individuals. One ecological study found that after the implementation of a population-based skin cancer screening program that screened 360,288 adults (about 19% of the eligible population, mean age 49.7 years) the population age- and sex-adjusted melanoma mortality decreased by 48% with an absolute mortality difference of 0.8 melanoma deaths per 100,000 persons. In two studies performing visual skin examination, sensitivity to detect melanoma was 40% when conducted by primary care physicians (n=16,383) and 49% when performed by dermatologists (n=7,436). Eight observational studies (n=236,485) examined the association between the degree of disease involvement (lesion thickness or stage at diagnosis) and mortality. All studies demonstrated a consistent linear increase in the risk of melanoma mortality with increasing disease involvement at diagnosis. Tumor thickness >4.0 mm was associated with an increased risk of melanoma mortality compared with thinner lesions.
Tier 5 View Citations

Wernli KJ, et al. (2016) PMID: 27458949

Consensus guidelines state that surveillance should be performed with endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) and/or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)/magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography (MRCP) of the pancreas. It is recommended that this surveillance start at age 40-50 (depending on the guideline, with more recent guidelines suggesting age 40 to initiate screening) or 10 years prior to the earliest diagnosis of pancreatic cancer in the family, whichever is earlier. There is currently not a recommendation for when to stop surveillance. Pancreatic abnormalities that do not lead to immediate surgery should undergo additional testing such as EUS/fine-needle aspiration and should undergo close follow-up imaging in 3-6 months (if they do not proceed to surgery after multidisciplinary review). Surveillance should be performed by multidisciplinary teams with appropriate expertise. Recommendations for screening are primarily based on evidence of increased risk, with the aim to detect early pancreatic lesions that can be intervened upon, rather than a proven efficacy of screening. Potential benefits of pancreatic cancer screening include a suggestion of downstaging, compared to historical data, in that 75%–90% of screen-detected pancreatic cancer has been surgically resectable at diagnosis (which is markedly higher than historical rates of resectability with pancreatic cancers detected due to symptoms). One study evaluated 178 asymptomatic patients with a pathogenic variant in CDKN2A in a screening program with annual MRI/MRCP with or without EUS. Mean age at the start of the program was 56 years (range: 37-75 years) and mean follow up time was 53 months (range: 0-169 months). A total of 866 MRIs and 106 EUSs were performed. Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) was detected in 13 (7.3%) patients. The mean age at diagnosis was 58 years (range: 39 to 74 years). The cumulative incidence of PDAC was 14% by age 70. The results showed increased rates in the identification of tumors in stages that allowed for treatment with resection. The resection rate of screen detected PDAC (75%) was much higher than reported for sporadic PDAC patients (15-20%) and compared to historical controls of patients with CDKN2A pathogenic variants with symptomatic PDAC (15%). The 5-year survival rate was substantially higher (24%) than the survival rate reported for patients with symptomatic sporadic PDAC (4-7%).
Tier 2 View Citations

Syngal S, et al. (2015) PMID: 25645574, NCCN. (2022) URL: www.nccn.org., Goggins M, et al. (2020) PMID: 31672839

Routine testing via fasting blood glucose and/or HbA1C is recommended for pancreatic cancer screening.
Tier 2 View Citations

Goggins M, et al. (2020) PMID: 31672839

Circumstances to Avoid

All high-risk individuals should be counseled against smoking. As smoking has been shown to be an independent risk factor for pancreatic cancer in families with familial pancreatic cancer (not known to have pathogenic variants associated with cancer) (OR=3.7, 95% CI: 1.8-7.6) with smokers developing cancer one decade earlier than nonsmokers (59.6 vs. 69.1 years; p=0.01).
Tier 2 View Citations

Syngal S, et al. (2015) PMID: 25645574

Description of sources of evidence:

Tier 1: Evidence from a systematic review or a meta-analysis or clinical practice guideline clearly based on a systematic review.
Tier 2: Evidence from clinical practice guidelines or broad-based expert consensus with non-systematic evidence review.
Tier 3: Evidence from another source with non-systematic review of evidence with primary literature cited.
Tier 4: Evidence from another source with non-systematic review of evidence with no citations to primary data sources.
Tier 5: Evidence from a non-systematically identified source.

Nature of Intervention

Surveillance interventions include the use of full body skin exams for melanoma and imaging to screen for pancreatic cancer. Treatment for melanoma in individuals with CDKN2A pathogenic variants is similar to sporadic melanoma and is largely based on surgery at initial stages. A recent systematic review found that among 77 high risk patients (12 with CDKN2A pathogenic variants, 15.6%) that underwent surgical intervention for concerning pancreatic lesions, no major post-operative complications were reported. However, the underreporting of postoperative data did not allow the extraction of reliable conclusions about postoperative morbidity or mortality after surgery. Patient selection for treatment is challenging, as surgery is associated with increased morbidity and mortality.
Context: Adult Pediatric
View Citations

Familial melanoma. Orphanet encyclopedia, ORPHA: 618., Goggins M, et al. (2020) PMID: 31672839, Bagias G, et al. (2022) PMID: 35758214

Chance to Escape Clinical Detection

Some family members will display only part of the classic MPCS phenotype or will show no cutaneous characteristics but may later develop melanoma or pancreatic cancer. The anatomic location of the pancreas and late presenting, often nonspecific, initial symptoms of pancreatic cancer hinder the ability to detect masses at an early, resectable stage.
Context: Adult Pediatric
Tier 3 View Citations

Eckerle Mize D, et al. (2009) PMID: 21249757

Description of sources of evidence:

Tier 1: Evidence from a systematic review or a meta-analysis or clinical practice guideline clearly based on a systematic review.
Tier 2: Evidence from clinical practice guidelines or broad-based expert consensus with non-systematic evidence review.
Tier 3: Evidence from another source with non-systematic review of evidence with primary literature cited.
Tier 4: Evidence from another source with non-systematic review of evidence with no citations to primary data sources.
Tier 5: Evidence from a non-systematically identified source.
Gene Condition Associations
OMIM Identifier Primary MONDO Identifier Additional MONDO Identifiers
CDKN2A 606719 0011713

References List

Astiazaran-Symonds E, Goldstein AM. (2021) A systematic review of the prevalence of germline pathogenic variants in patients with pancreatic cancer. Journal of gastroenterology. 56(1435-5922):713-721.

Bagias G, Kanavidis P, Vailas M, Despotidis M, Sotiropoulou M, Katsaros I, Maroulis I, Filippou D, Schizas D. (2022) Surgical management of familial pancreatic cancer: a systematic review of the literature. ANZ journal of surgery.

Eckerle Mize D, Bishop M, Resse E, Sluzevich J. (2009) Familial Atypical Multiple Mole Melanoma Syndrome. Cancer Syndromes.

Familial atypical multiple mole melanoma syndrome. Orphanet encyclopedia, http://www.orpha.net/consor/cgi-bin/OC_Exp.php?lng=en&Expert=404560

Familial melanoma. Orphanet encyclopedia, http://www.orpha.net/consor/cgi-bin/OC_Exp.php?lng=en&Expert=618

Goggins M, Overbeek KA, Brand R, Syngal S, Del Chiaro M, Bartsch DK, Bassi C, Carrato A, Farrell J, Fishman EK, Fockens P, Gress TM, van Hooft JE, Hruban RH, Kastrinos F, Klein A, Lennon AM, Lucas A, Park W, Rustgi A, Simeone D, Stoffel E, Vasen HFA, Cahen DL, Canto MI, Bruno M, International Cancer of the Pancreas Screening (CAPS) consortium. (2020) Management of patients with increased risk for familial pancreatic cancer: updated recommendations from the International Cancer of the Pancreas Screening (CAPS) Consortium. Gut. 69(1468-3288):7-17.

MELANOMA-PANCREATIC CANCER SYNDROME. Online Medelian Inheritance in Man, OMIM®. Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD. MIM: 606719, (2012) World Wide Web URL: http://omim.org/

MELANOMA, CUTANEOUS MALIGNANT, SUSCEPTIBILITY TO, 2; CMM2. Online Medelian Inheritance in Man, OMIM®. Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD. MIM: 155601, (2013) World Wide Web URL: http://omim.org/

NCCN. Genetic/Familial High-Risk Assessment: Breast, Ovarian, and Pancreatic Cancer (Version 2.2022). (2022) Accessed: 2022-06-03. URL: https://www.nccn.org/guidelines/guidelines-detail?category=2&id=1503

NCCN. Pancreatic Cancer (Version 1.2022). (2022) Accessed: 2022-06-03. URL: https://www.nccn.org/guidelines/guidelines-detail?category=1&id=1455

NCI. Genetics of Skin Cancer (PDQ(R)): NCI. PDQ Cancer Information Summaries. (2022) Accessed: 2022-06-03. URL: https://www.cancer.gov/types/skin/hp/skin-genetics-pdq

Syngal S, Brand RE, Church JM, Giardiello FM, Hampel HL, Burt RW. (2015) ACG clinical guideline: Genetic testing and management of hereditary gastrointestinal cancer syndromes. The American journal of gastroenterology. 110(2):223-62; quiz 263.

van der Rhee JI, de Snoo FA, Vasen HF, Mooi WJ, Putter H, Gruis NA, Kukutsch NA, Bergman W. (2011) Effectiveness and causes for failure of surveillance of CDKN2A-mutated melanoma families. Journal of the American Academy of Dermatology. 65(2):289-96.

Wernli KJ, Henrikson NB, Morrison CC, Nguyen M, Pocobelli G, Blasi PR. (2016) Screening for Skin Cancer in Adults: Updated Evidence Report and Systematic Review for the US Preventive Services Task Force. JAMA. 316(4):436-47.

Early Rule-Out Summary

This topic passed the early rule out stage

Findings of Early Rule-Out Assessment

  1. Is there a qualifying resource, such as a practice guideline or systematic review, for the genetic condition?
  2. Does the practice guideline or systematic review indicate that the result is actionable in one or more of the following ways?
  3. a. Patient Management

    b. Surveillance or Screening

    c. Circumstances to Avoid

  4. Is it actionable in an undiagnosed adult with the condition?
  5. Is this condition an important health problem?
  6. Is there at least on known pathogenic variant with at least moderate penetrance (≥40%) or moderate relative risk (≥2) in any population?